It's that time of year again. Playoff basketball is almost over and all of the individual awards have been handed out except for 1: the most important one, Finals MVP.
Every year the crop of recipients seems to change. It's because players get better and situations change, but that bias has definitely not come into account this season. All of the major award winners this season fully deserve the award, even though for most it is the first time they can be in the categories.
If you are a die-hard LeBron or John Wall fan then you might be upset by some of the selections. However, the voting committee got it all right this year. So you need to sit down and listen to why these guys deserve their awards.
Most Improved- Kevin Love
My boy, K-Love. Even though I have a heavy bias towards him there is room to argue this award selection. When you think of Derrick Rose, Russel Westbrook, and Dorrell Wright it's easy to see the massive improvement from the prior season. Especially considering Wright is the only one of those 3 that didn't make it to the playoffs. But the bottom line is K-Love broke records, made history. He is doing things we haven't seen for a good 20 odd years. The man shoots 3's, posts up, and rebounds like a monster. He made the all-star team and he has officially become a superstar. Russ and Rose were superstars already. Thus, K-Love is the most improved.
Sixth Man- Lamar Odom
Finally, Lamar gets a trophy. Maybe not statistically, but Odom is the most important sixth man every year. The Lakers are back-to-back champs and most of that is because they are a huge match-up problem for most teams. Two seven-footers in the post and a 6-10, ball-handling, 3 point shooter as a bench 4? Unfair. Finally he got credit for it.
Rookie of the Year- Blake Griffin
The Blake Show. Enough said. John Wall has had a fantastic rookie year, and probably would have won the award any other year than this one. Too bad Griffin dominated the league as arguably the most productive power forward. He broke rookie records, team records, dominated stats sheets, and most of all he dominated the highlight reel. Not only is he the rookie of the year, but he probably put together one of the most impressive rookie campaigns ever.
Defensive Player of the Year- Dwight Howard
No argument here. Nobody in the league changes the game defensively quite like D-12 does. He dominates the boards and makes any slasher think twice before entering the paint.
Coach of the Year- Tom Thibodeau
Year in and year out this award has the most viable contenders. There might be 3 guys you could argue to receive every other award but this one. This one has about 6. Doug Collins? Scott Brooks? Gregg Popovich? Well they didn't win, Thibodeau did, and it was much deserved. The Bulls were an 8th seed in the weak East last year and now they have the best record in the league. It might even have more to do with the coach then the franchises first MVP since MJ in Derrick Rose.
MVP- Derrick Rose
This award is obviously the most popular award and thus is talked about the most. That's why I'm glad the voters on the award came through with some integrity. They looked at the definition of MVP to decide. Most valuable. That's the key right there. It's not an award to the best player, to the highest scorer, or the best closer. If it were like that then the award would go to LeBron, KD, and Kobe respectively. But D-Rose made an average team the best in the league. When Boozer or Noah were injured (which was basically the entire year) the Bulls didn't skip a beat.
Finals MVP? LeBron James
At much as kills me to say this, the Heat will win the championship. Just thinking about it makes me die inside, but Wade, James, and the way Bosh is playing right now is too much for any team to handle. And with James actually making clutch plays, he is solidifying his place atop the league. If this blog were on paper, this would be the part of the page where you see wet spots from tears, but sometimes life is hard.
Saturday 4 June 2011
Tuesday 3 May 2011
Pre-Lottery Mock Draft
With the NBA draft early entry list being revealed recently, it is due time for The Hot Hand Blog to release its first mock draft. This year’s draft class is consistently viewed as weaker than recent drafts due to factors such as the potential lock out next season and, probably resulting from that, the withdrawal of many top prospects. Yet this draft does have players with All Star potential. As with everything, time will tell how this draft stacks up.
1.
Like the title explains, this is a pre-lottery draft. Thus, this order is likely not how they will be drafted considering different teams have different needs. So take this draft order with a grain of salt.
Kyrie Erving PG. Though the freshmen’s season was cut short by a toe injury, his stellar play early for Duke, and his tournament performance leave no question as to who is the top prize in 2011. The epitome of a true lead guard, Kyrie’s game is tailor made for the next level. He possesses a crafty handle, excellent body control, x-ray vision and the way he penetrates keeps him from committing charges. His pull up jumper is NBA ready, and has been since high school, and his defence is very advanced for his age. His most underrated aspect has to be his demeanour and personality. Not many freshmen would have been given the green light, not only by Coach K, but by the upperclassmen on that Duke team. However, that was Irving’s team from the jump. He will be able to fit in seamlessly to any NBA roster. Ceiling: Chris Paul Basement: D.J. Augustine
2.
Derrick Williams PF. Going from the least regarded of Arizona’s 2009 recruiting class, to a potential number 1 pick, nobody has exploded on to the scene quite like Williams. A physical specimen at the 4 spot with a versatile game that can do damage inside and out. One of the best shooters from his position in all the NCAA, Derrick shot 56.8% from 3 on 74 attempts. His stroke paired with his athleticism, foot work and motor has Williams primed to anchor the front line on an NBA roster for years to come. Ceiling: Amar’e Stoudemire Basement: Paul Milsap
3.
Kemba Walker PG. Lacking the physical stature of most typical lottery prospects, Walkers utter destruction of college basketball this season has solidified his place in top 5 territory. Excellent mid range game, handle, vision, and a scorer’s mentality that reminds me of a young Iverson. Needless to say the way he carried an average team to the Promised Land as the only legitimate consistent threat was remarkable and brought back memories of AI in ’01. His ability to work the pick and roll will be his bread and butter throughout his career. Ceiling: Devin Harris Basement: T.J. Ford
4.
Bismack Biyombo PF: Having burst on to the scene after his triple double in the Nike Hoop Summit, teams are salivating at the freakish physical measurements of this cat. Standing 6-9 with a 7-7(!!!) wingspan, and devastating athleticism, Biyombo will be a terror defensively as soon as he steps on to and NBA floor. A native of Congo, Biyombo’s 12/11/10 triple double against the top NCAA prospects in America, and his dominant, aggressive personality have him primed to be shaking the comish’s hand very early on draft night. Ceiling: Serge Ibaka Basement: Jason Maxiel
5.
Enes Kanter C. Although he had to sit out this season at Kentucky, Kanter has a very bright NBA future. A beast inside with an Andrea Bargnani-like outside stroke, he has the ability to get buckets from wherever. Not an athletic freak like Biyombo, but with infinitely more skill, the Turkish big stands a chance to be in the top 3 with good workouts. He currently holds the Hoop Summit scoring record that was previously held by Dirk Nowitzki. Ceiling: Rasheed Wallace Basement: Vlade Divac
6.
Alec Burks SG. The first swingman on this mock, Alec Burks has the potential to be the very best player from this class in the long run. He possesses the one skill that is most highly valued from wing scorers at this level; excellent 1v1 capabilities. A terrific handle, shot creating skills, and the ability to drive and finish with either hand, Burks was one of the best scorers at the college level regardless of position. He is a willing passer and a great rebounder at the guard spot. Will be most effective with the ball in his hands. Ceiling: Brandon Roy Basement: Chris Douglas-Roberts
7.
Tristan Thompson PF. Frankly speaking, Thompson is better than Ed Davis right now, and is one of the most overlooked players in this draft. A freak athlete with great hands, footwork and a relentless motor Thompson should be able to defend effectively and score around the bucket at the next level. Watch the way he ran the floor this past season at Texas. He was consistently the first player down, running to the opposite baseline before coming back to the rim and establishing deep position in the post. His offensive game is raw but his defensive ability will keep him on the floor. Ceiling: Shareef Abdur-Rahim Basement: Amir Johnson
8.
Terrence Jones SF. One of the most versatile players in the Draft, Jones can bang down low, or step outside and go to work from the wing. A very underrated passer and ball handler, and the right mentality for the NBA game has me believing that ,for once, Coach Cal may have hurt one of his players draft stock this past season. A good athlete, paired with his versatility could make Jones a very valuable pickup for a team. Ceiling: Lamar Odom Basement: Dorrell Wright
9.
Jimmer Freddette G. Jimmer just gives off the air of a superstar already. His confidence, swagger, and sheer ruthlessness on the court show that Jimmer has the perfect frame of mind for what his NBA role will be (straight gunner). His ability to create offence for himself and others is invaluable in the NBA and if he is given a free reign to go nuts...he will. At worst he is a killer as a spot up shooter, at best he can be the perfect offensive compliment to any dominating big man. Ceiling: Jamal Crawford Basement: Eddie House
10.
Brandon Knight G. Though he manned the point at Kentucky, I see Knights future as a more undersized combo guard. His ability to run his defender off screens is too good to restrict him to playing the point full time. He would be most serviceable working off screens from the baseline. He does have a tight handle, good 1v1 play, and demonstrated in the tournament and the Mcdonalds all American game in high school, that he can be trusted with the game on the line. Those skills are highly regarded and should allow him to be a contributor right away. Ceiling: Rip Hamilton Basement: Lou Williams
-Contributions by Nicholindsey Hobson for The Hot Hand
Saturday 30 April 2011
The Fall of a Dynasty
I apologize for the lengthy drought of posts, but I was just waiting for the Spurs to lose.
In 1998-99 San Antonio defeated the New York Knicks to become the NBA champions. This victory marked the beginning of the Spurs dynasty, and a dynasty is exactly what it should be called. They won 4 championships in 9 years and were lead by the 2 same people each time: Gregg Popovich and Tim Duncan.
The dominance of the Spurs in the playoffs solidified them as the most well-operated franchise in the league. They were consistently one of the best teams in the tough western conference and it seemed as though they won it all every other year. Experience, superb coaching, and excellent late draft selections(see Manu Ginobili, Tony Parker, Dejuan Blair, Gary Neal, etc.) kept this team on the top. However they have seemed to falter the last 3 years, failing to make it back to the promised land.
The reason behind the perception of failure could just be our heavy expectations of them, since they were cleaning house in the playoffs for a decade. Although a very feasible theory, a more proper one is most likely the decline of Tim Duncan. TD is a first ballot hall-of-famer no question, but he is 35, and as expected his production is decreasing. The surprise to me was that the playoff experience of the rest of the team was not enough for them to stay a powerhouse.
I thought it was already decided that the Spurs were not the same playoff dominant team they used to be and the dynasty was over. But just when I start jumping the gun, San Antonio wins 61 games this season. A change in philosophy orchestrated by Popovich had them winning so much at the beginning of the season that there was talk they would break 70. If it weren't for the Bulls they would have finished atop the league, but instead had to settle for best in the west(which is much more difficult than being the best in the east).
Yet they somehow stumble into the playoffs, showing a lack of confidence in the clutch and in big games. With all of that behind them however, they still are the number one seed, so they get the easiest road to the finals right? Wrong. Instead, they met their match in the Rudy Gay-less Memphis Grizzlies. This is the fourth time in NBA history that a number 8 seed has overcome a number 1. To be honest, this series wasn't even tight. The Grizzlies appeared to have control the whole time and in fact I am surprised they didn't finish them off in 5.
Just when I start to think the Spurs are back, they get upset in the playoffs in Dallas Maverick fashion, except worse. Mark yesterday on your history calendar folks. The Fall of the Spurs is officially done.
In 1998-99 San Antonio defeated the New York Knicks to become the NBA champions. This victory marked the beginning of the Spurs dynasty, and a dynasty is exactly what it should be called. They won 4 championships in 9 years and were lead by the 2 same people each time: Gregg Popovich and Tim Duncan.
The dominance of the Spurs in the playoffs solidified them as the most well-operated franchise in the league. They were consistently one of the best teams in the tough western conference and it seemed as though they won it all every other year. Experience, superb coaching, and excellent late draft selections(see Manu Ginobili, Tony Parker, Dejuan Blair, Gary Neal, etc.) kept this team on the top. However they have seemed to falter the last 3 years, failing to make it back to the promised land.
The reason behind the perception of failure could just be our heavy expectations of them, since they were cleaning house in the playoffs for a decade. Although a very feasible theory, a more proper one is most likely the decline of Tim Duncan. TD is a first ballot hall-of-famer no question, but he is 35, and as expected his production is decreasing. The surprise to me was that the playoff experience of the rest of the team was not enough for them to stay a powerhouse.
I thought it was already decided that the Spurs were not the same playoff dominant team they used to be and the dynasty was over. But just when I start jumping the gun, San Antonio wins 61 games this season. A change in philosophy orchestrated by Popovich had them winning so much at the beginning of the season that there was talk they would break 70. If it weren't for the Bulls they would have finished atop the league, but instead had to settle for best in the west(which is much more difficult than being the best in the east).
Yet they somehow stumble into the playoffs, showing a lack of confidence in the clutch and in big games. With all of that behind them however, they still are the number one seed, so they get the easiest road to the finals right? Wrong. Instead, they met their match in the Rudy Gay-less Memphis Grizzlies. This is the fourth time in NBA history that a number 8 seed has overcome a number 1. To be honest, this series wasn't even tight. The Grizzlies appeared to have control the whole time and in fact I am surprised they didn't finish them off in 5.
Just when I start to think the Spurs are back, they get upset in the playoffs in Dallas Maverick fashion, except worse. Mark yesterday on your history calendar folks. The Fall of the Spurs is officially done.
Thursday 21 April 2011
First Round Report Card
As always, what we expected to happen in the playoffs didn't exactly work out as planned. Though each series is only 2 games in, the way most of the series have progressed comes as a surprise to most. Who would have thought the LAKERS would lose game one at home to the HORNETS? Probably not many of us. I'm going to grade each series on a letter scale from F to A+. F will indicate that the series is a shocker and an A+ means that the series is continuing soundly.
EASTERN CONFERENCE
BULLS(1) vs. PACERS(8)
Chicago leads the series 2-0 as most expected. The BULLS are just a superior team in every fashion and the series score shows it. However, I give Indiana credit for being able to stick with BULLS. In game 1, the PACERS had the lead the entire game until the dying minutes of the final quarter when Derrick Rose ended their hopes of a game 1 upset. I know I predicted a series sweep by the BULLS, but don't be surprised if Indiana takes one at home with their crowd behind them. GRADE: C- (passing, but not by a lot)
HEAT(2) vs. 76ERS(7)
Miami leads the series 2-0 which isn't much of a surprise. The way the first 2 games progressed, however, comes as a surprise to me. I thought Phili was going to put up a good fight in this series but it has clearly been the most one-sided in the playoffs. Miami has dominated the 76ERS other than certain stretches in game 1. My prediction could have been skewed as a result of my lack of faith in the HEAT, but they are impressing me. A first round sweep might end Phili's season. GRADE: D (surprise to me, but probably not to people who believe in the HEAT)
CELTICS(3) vs. KNICKS(6)
Boston leads the series 2-0 as expected. Home court has proven to be the CELTICS advantage in this series thus far, as their ability to lock-up defensively down the stretch has been what has won them games and much of that fire comes from the crowd. Melo' was great in game 2 and Amar'e was great in game 1, which ensured that KNICKS were close. Chauncy Billups and Amar'e Stoudemire both sat out game 2 with injuries which makes you wonder 2 things in particular: Would New York have won game 2 with them in lineup? And how can Amar'e say Pau Gasol is soft when he dresses in a suit and tie in the playoffs because of sore back? Kobe played a season with a broken finger. It's time to take of the dress, put down the fairy wand, and put on the jersey. GRADE: A (look for New York to win a couple at home coming up)
MAGIC(4) vs. HAWKS(5)
This series has not gone the way I expected it at all. The HAWKS appeared to be uninterested all year and seemed to be at the end of every punchline. Besides that, these 2 teams played in the post season last year and Orlando swept them. Such is the cruel mistress that is expectation. Orlando expects it to be a cake-walk and Atlanta comes out with something to prove. Dwight Howard has been a absolute monster in the series and probably the best player in the playoffs so far. With a MAGIC team that relies so heavily on Howard's production, it's hard to believe the MAGIC lost one at home and series is tied at 1. GRADE: F (impressed with the HAWKS, disappointed with the MAGIC minus Howard)
WESTERN CONFERENCE
SPURS(1) vs. GRIZZLIES(8)
The series is tied at 1-1, which isn't a surprise considering Manu Ginobili didn't suit up game one with a sore elbow. The SPURS sort of stumbled into the playoffs and it's showing. I still expect San Antonio to take this series but not without a fight. GRADE: A (Manu is back, which gives the SPURS is the upper hand)
LAKERS(2) vs. HORNETS(7)
Wow, Chris Paul. The series is tied 1-1, and CP3 has made his mark. The All-Star PG single-handedly beat the LAKERS in game one. It was a surprise because it was game 1 and in L.A., but it isn't a surprise that the HORNETS beat the LAKERS once. Like I said last week, L.A. can turn off the switch, and that's what they did. I still don't expect the series to be close the rest of the way. GRADE: B (I thought the HORNETS would steal one at home, not on the road. But it doesn't change that the LAKERS will win)
MAVERICKS(3) vs. BLAZERS(6)
The MAVS lead this series 2-0 and it has been a lot more one sided then I predicted. My lack of faith in the post season prowess of Dallas might have been falsely placed (you're welcome Evan). Their play has been impressive thus far and they have dominated the BLAZERS for most of each game. The one reason this report card wont get an F is that the series is now swinging to Portland which gives them a chance to even the series before they go back on the road. If the BLAZERS don't take advantage of their home court in game 4 and 5 then this series will end in 5 or 6. GRADE: D
THUNDER(4) vs. NUGGETS(5)
OKC leads the series 2-0. Game 1 was exactly as I expected: a close and exciting game. Denver lost game 2 by 17, which was a poor effort on their part. Look for this young NUGGETS team to bounce back and fight hard on their home court. This series still has a lot of basketball to be played. GRADE: B
EASTERN CONFERENCE
BULLS(1) vs. PACERS(8)
Chicago leads the series 2-0 as most expected. The BULLS are just a superior team in every fashion and the series score shows it. However, I give Indiana credit for being able to stick with BULLS. In game 1, the PACERS had the lead the entire game until the dying minutes of the final quarter when Derrick Rose ended their hopes of a game 1 upset. I know I predicted a series sweep by the BULLS, but don't be surprised if Indiana takes one at home with their crowd behind them. GRADE: C- (passing, but not by a lot)
HEAT(2) vs. 76ERS(7)
Miami leads the series 2-0 which isn't much of a surprise. The way the first 2 games progressed, however, comes as a surprise to me. I thought Phili was going to put up a good fight in this series but it has clearly been the most one-sided in the playoffs. Miami has dominated the 76ERS other than certain stretches in game 1. My prediction could have been skewed as a result of my lack of faith in the HEAT, but they are impressing me. A first round sweep might end Phili's season. GRADE: D (surprise to me, but probably not to people who believe in the HEAT)
CELTICS(3) vs. KNICKS(6)
Boston leads the series 2-0 as expected. Home court has proven to be the CELTICS advantage in this series thus far, as their ability to lock-up defensively down the stretch has been what has won them games and much of that fire comes from the crowd. Melo' was great in game 2 and Amar'e was great in game 1, which ensured that KNICKS were close. Chauncy Billups and Amar'e Stoudemire both sat out game 2 with injuries which makes you wonder 2 things in particular: Would New York have won game 2 with them in lineup? And how can Amar'e say Pau Gasol is soft when he dresses in a suit and tie in the playoffs because of sore back? Kobe played a season with a broken finger. It's time to take of the dress, put down the fairy wand, and put on the jersey. GRADE: A (look for New York to win a couple at home coming up)
MAGIC(4) vs. HAWKS(5)
This series has not gone the way I expected it at all. The HAWKS appeared to be uninterested all year and seemed to be at the end of every punchline. Besides that, these 2 teams played in the post season last year and Orlando swept them. Such is the cruel mistress that is expectation. Orlando expects it to be a cake-walk and Atlanta comes out with something to prove. Dwight Howard has been a absolute monster in the series and probably the best player in the playoffs so far. With a MAGIC team that relies so heavily on Howard's production, it's hard to believe the MAGIC lost one at home and series is tied at 1. GRADE: F (impressed with the HAWKS, disappointed with the MAGIC minus Howard)
WESTERN CONFERENCE
SPURS(1) vs. GRIZZLIES(8)
The series is tied at 1-1, which isn't a surprise considering Manu Ginobili didn't suit up game one with a sore elbow. The SPURS sort of stumbled into the playoffs and it's showing. I still expect San Antonio to take this series but not without a fight. GRADE: A (Manu is back, which gives the SPURS is the upper hand)
LAKERS(2) vs. HORNETS(7)
Wow, Chris Paul. The series is tied 1-1, and CP3 has made his mark. The All-Star PG single-handedly beat the LAKERS in game one. It was a surprise because it was game 1 and in L.A., but it isn't a surprise that the HORNETS beat the LAKERS once. Like I said last week, L.A. can turn off the switch, and that's what they did. I still don't expect the series to be close the rest of the way. GRADE: B (I thought the HORNETS would steal one at home, not on the road. But it doesn't change that the LAKERS will win)
MAVERICKS(3) vs. BLAZERS(6)
The MAVS lead this series 2-0 and it has been a lot more one sided then I predicted. My lack of faith in the post season prowess of Dallas might have been falsely placed (you're welcome Evan). Their play has been impressive thus far and they have dominated the BLAZERS for most of each game. The one reason this report card wont get an F is that the series is now swinging to Portland which gives them a chance to even the series before they go back on the road. If the BLAZERS don't take advantage of their home court in game 4 and 5 then this series will end in 5 or 6. GRADE: D
THUNDER(4) vs. NUGGETS(5)
OKC leads the series 2-0. Game 1 was exactly as I expected: a close and exciting game. Denver lost game 2 by 17, which was a poor effort on their part. Look for this young NUGGETS team to bounce back and fight hard on their home court. This series still has a lot of basketball to be played. GRADE: B
Thursday 14 April 2011
The Playoff Shakedown
Last night wrapped up an interesting year in the league. "The Year of the Headlines," is what it should be referred to as. Beginning with the hectic off-season that saw the likes of LeBron, STAT, CB4(as he was formerly known), Booz and others being bid on like cattle at an auction; all of this in the hopes of assembling the next "super team."
The playoff picture now is looking a lot different than how many predicted it would almost a year prior. The SPURS sit atop the west, with the 'Melo-less NUGGETS in fifth, and the HORNETS and GRIZZLIES riding the tail end of the power conference. The east only had a couple of surprises, namely, the BULLS finishing with the best record in the league and the BUCKS dropping out of playoff contention after such a promising 2009/2010 campaign. The rise of the HEAT wasn't a surprise, but it was a turnaround for the franchise from the previous year to be sure.
We are approaching the second half of April and playoff basketball is in the air. Top seeded teams are fresh after resting key players late in the season and lower seeded teams are full of momentum from fighting for their lives to get in. This all makes for an interesting year of predictions. Below is an in-depth look at the first round match-ups and series prediction to crown a champion! Keep reading The Hot Hand: Hoops Blog for all playoff updates and for second round breakdowns! Enjoy!
EASTERN CONFERENCE - we can start here because the east should hold no surprises. Only the top 4 teams had above 50 wins, the next closest being the HAWKS with 44. Don't expect any upsets in the first round.
BULLS(1) vs. PACERS(8)
The PACERS didn't break .500 this year, but they took some steps in the right direction. Aquiring Darren Collison gave them a legit PG in a league where you can't win without one, and Tyler Hansbrough had an excellent post-all-star break campaign that gives them a legit starting PF. The biggest black eye with the PACERS is the decline in production from their star, Danny Granger. If they want to avoid a sweep from the league-best BULLS, they are going to need Granger to play like he has in previous seasons. The BULLS had the best defense in the league this season and potentially the MVP in Derrick Rose. Defense, consistency, and star players shining bright in the clutch is what you need to go deep in the playoffs. Chicago has all 3. Sorry Indiana, this isn't your year. Outcome: BULLS in 4
HEAT(2) vs. 76ERS(7)
Many people said Miami was going to break the record for most wins in a season this year. Instead, they weren't even close. Their 5th ranked defense and 3rd ranked offense was still good for the third best team in the league and the 2 seed in the east though. Consistency has come into question for the HEAT and as a result a lot of "heat" (bad pun?) has been put on head coach Eric Spoelstra. Unlike Spoelstra, the 76RS coach, Doug Collins, is in the running for coach of the year. Phili started off on the wrong foot, but a change in coaching schemes by Collins resulted in them clawing their way to the 7th seed. Phili is a scrappy, young team with lots of athletes. This isn't enough to get by the Big 2 and half (sorry Bosh). Outcome: HEAT in 6
CELTICS(3) vs. KNICKS(6)
An interesting series between two storied franchises with huge fan bases. Home court will play a huge role in this series. Boston looked like they were geared up for another run to the finals until they traded center Kendrick Perkins. The injury to Shaquille O'Neal also hurts them at the pivot. Good thing for New York, since that is the only position they lack. The KNICKS stumbled into the playoffs behind 'Melo's clutch shooting, but look for them to make a splash in the post-season. The have 3 prime-time performers that will give the CELTICS a run for their money. Ultimately, Boston's experience and size up front will overpower the KNICKS. Outcome: CELTICS in 6
MAGIC(4) vs. HAWKS(5)
A repeat of the second round matchup last year between these 2 teams and not much has changed. The HAWKS still play a small, slow style of ball that suits their star, Joe Johnson. Orlando still depends on defense, where they ranked 3rd, and the dominance of Dwight Howard.Thus, the outcome won't change much. Outcome: MAGIC in 5
WESTERN CONFERENCE - a much more interesting series of matchups out in the west. 5 teams finished with over 50 wins and 3 more finished with over 46. The top 11 teams in the west have good enough records to be in the east playoff race.
SPURS(1) vs. GRIZZLIES(8)
The SPURS were a big surprise this year. General consensus was the SPURS were on the decline. Tim Duncan, arguably the best PF in history, is in his mid 30s and his production is decreasing as a result. Instead of allowing mother nature to cruelly impede their quest for a championship, Gregg Popovich, another coach of the year candidate, installed a new system. Lead by Manu Ginobli, the SPURS turned to a run-and-gun offense and steered away from their slow, half-court roots. The result was 61 wins and top seed in the tough west. But the boys down in Memphis should not be taken lightly. 46 wins and the 8th ranked defense makes them a legitimate foe for the SPURS. This series hinges on the results of the MRI on Manu Ginobli's hyper extended arm he suffered in the last game of the regular season. Assuming he comes back (he is tough like that): SPURS in 6
LAKERS(2) vs. HORNETS(7)
L.A. has relatively the same team they won the championship with the last 2 years which us tells us one very important thing: the LAKERS' regular season record doesn't show how good this team really is. They have been known for their ability to "flip the switch." But the thing is, it's playoffs. It's Kobe. It's Phil. All of that doubt is fuel to the championship winning machine that is the LAKERS. New Orleans had a great run this year considering how poor their roster looks on paper. The injury to David West ensures their demise in the first round. The lack of depth and size will be what the LAKERS prey on (like they do to every other team). This series won't be close, except the one game the HORNETS win because L.A. flips off the switch. Outcome: LAKERS in 5
MAVERICKS(3) vs. BLAZERS(6)
Nothing too much to say about Dallas this year. They did what they always do: win. The BLAZERS also did what they always do: get injured. Without Brandon Roy, Greg Oden, and Marcus Camby for much of the season the BLAZERS had to find answers elsewhere. They found the answers in the immense amount of depth they have every year to cope with injuries. Led by Wesley Matthews and LaMarcus Aldridge, who put together their best seasons of their careers, the BLAZERS were competitive all year in the west. They brought in Gerald Wallace at trade deadline and now Roy and Camby are back from injury. If they can get everyone rolling in the playoffs I am really excited for what this team can do. This could be because of my lack of faith in the MAVS in the post-season, but: BLAZERS in 7 (sorry Evan)
THUNDER(4) vs. NUGGETS(5)
This will be the most exciting series of the first round. So much young talent on display that you won't be able to help but think future champions. OKC has been playing great all year and have a couple of clutch performers in Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook. The NUGGETS are arguably the hottest team in the league since the trade deadline when they traded 'Melo. Denver's depth is staggering and depth is always crucial in a 7 game series. Expect high paced action, tight games, and big plays by star players. Outcome: THUNDER in 7
ROUND 2
East-
CHI vs. ORL: CHI in 6
MIA vs. BOS: BOS in 7
West-
SAS vs. OKC: OKC in 7
LAL vs. POR: LAL in 7
CONFERENCE FINALS
CHI vs. BOS: CHI in 7
LAL vs. OKC: LAL in 6
FINALS
CHI vs. LAL: LAL in 7
The playoff picture now is looking a lot different than how many predicted it would almost a year prior. The SPURS sit atop the west, with the 'Melo-less NUGGETS in fifth, and the HORNETS and GRIZZLIES riding the tail end of the power conference. The east only had a couple of surprises, namely, the BULLS finishing with the best record in the league and the BUCKS dropping out of playoff contention after such a promising 2009/2010 campaign. The rise of the HEAT wasn't a surprise, but it was a turnaround for the franchise from the previous year to be sure.
We are approaching the second half of April and playoff basketball is in the air. Top seeded teams are fresh after resting key players late in the season and lower seeded teams are full of momentum from fighting for their lives to get in. This all makes for an interesting year of predictions. Below is an in-depth look at the first round match-ups and series prediction to crown a champion! Keep reading The Hot Hand: Hoops Blog for all playoff updates and for second round breakdowns! Enjoy!
EASTERN CONFERENCE - we can start here because the east should hold no surprises. Only the top 4 teams had above 50 wins, the next closest being the HAWKS with 44. Don't expect any upsets in the first round.
BULLS(1) vs. PACERS(8)
The PACERS didn't break .500 this year, but they took some steps in the right direction. Aquiring Darren Collison gave them a legit PG in a league where you can't win without one, and Tyler Hansbrough had an excellent post-all-star break campaign that gives them a legit starting PF. The biggest black eye with the PACERS is the decline in production from their star, Danny Granger. If they want to avoid a sweep from the league-best BULLS, they are going to need Granger to play like he has in previous seasons. The BULLS had the best defense in the league this season and potentially the MVP in Derrick Rose. Defense, consistency, and star players shining bright in the clutch is what you need to go deep in the playoffs. Chicago has all 3. Sorry Indiana, this isn't your year. Outcome: BULLS in 4
HEAT(2) vs. 76ERS(7)
Many people said Miami was going to break the record for most wins in a season this year. Instead, they weren't even close. Their 5th ranked defense and 3rd ranked offense was still good for the third best team in the league and the 2 seed in the east though. Consistency has come into question for the HEAT and as a result a lot of "heat" (bad pun?) has been put on head coach Eric Spoelstra. Unlike Spoelstra, the 76RS coach, Doug Collins, is in the running for coach of the year. Phili started off on the wrong foot, but a change in coaching schemes by Collins resulted in them clawing their way to the 7th seed. Phili is a scrappy, young team with lots of athletes. This isn't enough to get by the Big 2 and half (sorry Bosh). Outcome: HEAT in 6
CELTICS(3) vs. KNICKS(6)
An interesting series between two storied franchises with huge fan bases. Home court will play a huge role in this series. Boston looked like they were geared up for another run to the finals until they traded center Kendrick Perkins. The injury to Shaquille O'Neal also hurts them at the pivot. Good thing for New York, since that is the only position they lack. The KNICKS stumbled into the playoffs behind 'Melo's clutch shooting, but look for them to make a splash in the post-season. The have 3 prime-time performers that will give the CELTICS a run for their money. Ultimately, Boston's experience and size up front will overpower the KNICKS. Outcome: CELTICS in 6
MAGIC(4) vs. HAWKS(5)
A repeat of the second round matchup last year between these 2 teams and not much has changed. The HAWKS still play a small, slow style of ball that suits their star, Joe Johnson. Orlando still depends on defense, where they ranked 3rd, and the dominance of Dwight Howard.Thus, the outcome won't change much. Outcome: MAGIC in 5
WESTERN CONFERENCE - a much more interesting series of matchups out in the west. 5 teams finished with over 50 wins and 3 more finished with over 46. The top 11 teams in the west have good enough records to be in the east playoff race.
SPURS(1) vs. GRIZZLIES(8)
The SPURS were a big surprise this year. General consensus was the SPURS were on the decline. Tim Duncan, arguably the best PF in history, is in his mid 30s and his production is decreasing as a result. Instead of allowing mother nature to cruelly impede their quest for a championship, Gregg Popovich, another coach of the year candidate, installed a new system. Lead by Manu Ginobli, the SPURS turned to a run-and-gun offense and steered away from their slow, half-court roots. The result was 61 wins and top seed in the tough west. But the boys down in Memphis should not be taken lightly. 46 wins and the 8th ranked defense makes them a legitimate foe for the SPURS. This series hinges on the results of the MRI on Manu Ginobli's hyper extended arm he suffered in the last game of the regular season. Assuming he comes back (he is tough like that): SPURS in 6
LAKERS(2) vs. HORNETS(7)
L.A. has relatively the same team they won the championship with the last 2 years which us tells us one very important thing: the LAKERS' regular season record doesn't show how good this team really is. They have been known for their ability to "flip the switch." But the thing is, it's playoffs. It's Kobe. It's Phil. All of that doubt is fuel to the championship winning machine that is the LAKERS. New Orleans had a great run this year considering how poor their roster looks on paper. The injury to David West ensures their demise in the first round. The lack of depth and size will be what the LAKERS prey on (like they do to every other team). This series won't be close, except the one game the HORNETS win because L.A. flips off the switch. Outcome: LAKERS in 5
MAVERICKS(3) vs. BLAZERS(6)
Nothing too much to say about Dallas this year. They did what they always do: win. The BLAZERS also did what they always do: get injured. Without Brandon Roy, Greg Oden, and Marcus Camby for much of the season the BLAZERS had to find answers elsewhere. They found the answers in the immense amount of depth they have every year to cope with injuries. Led by Wesley Matthews and LaMarcus Aldridge, who put together their best seasons of their careers, the BLAZERS were competitive all year in the west. They brought in Gerald Wallace at trade deadline and now Roy and Camby are back from injury. If they can get everyone rolling in the playoffs I am really excited for what this team can do. This could be because of my lack of faith in the MAVS in the post-season, but: BLAZERS in 7 (sorry Evan)
THUNDER(4) vs. NUGGETS(5)
This will be the most exciting series of the first round. So much young talent on display that you won't be able to help but think future champions. OKC has been playing great all year and have a couple of clutch performers in Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook. The NUGGETS are arguably the hottest team in the league since the trade deadline when they traded 'Melo. Denver's depth is staggering and depth is always crucial in a 7 game series. Expect high paced action, tight games, and big plays by star players. Outcome: THUNDER in 7
ROUND 2
East-
CHI vs. ORL: CHI in 6
MIA vs. BOS: BOS in 7
West-
SAS vs. OKC: OKC in 7
LAL vs. POR: LAL in 7
CONFERENCE FINALS
CHI vs. BOS: CHI in 7
LAL vs. OKC: LAL in 6
FINALS
CHI vs. LAL: LAL in 7
Tuesday 12 April 2011
Good or Bad? NBA midseason trades and aquisitions
...*sigh*...the rodeo that is the life of an NBA general manager. They manage hefty budgets all in an attempt to make a profit or win a championship; or both. Sure they have multiple people in the front office helping them with the little things: like marketing, staff, scouting, and all of the other nuances that are included in operating a multi-million dollar business.
Many GM's take personal interest in player personnel though. And sometimes, surprisingly, they appear to put winning ahead of making money in the franchise's "hierarchy of needs." This season, more than most, involved a lot of player trading and the signing of big name free agents. The composition of the league this year got a big make-over from last year as far as the BIG teams go. This has a lot to do with the overhaul jobs of their front office. Their decisions don't always push the team to the next level though. This is why we pay attention to the off-season: to judge the improvement of teams. And judging is exactly what I'm about to do.
I know it's not midseason, but it's worth talking about. It's the biggest acquisition of the year, the signing of LeBron James and Chris Bosh to the HEAT. When I first heard that Bosh signed with Miami, I was quite excited. I felt that the HEAT just added a top notch inside scorer and a good second option to pair with Dwyane Wade. That perspective changed as soon as I, like all you NBA fans out there, watched "The Decision." While it's hard to argue against these guys' resume's, skill levels, or number 2 seed in the east, it's quite easy to argue their obvious lack of chemistry. The money being payed to the Big 3 left Miami with limited flexibility to surround them with role players. This means that Bosh had to play "big" while their wings dominated the ball. I respect Bosh's game, but he is a finesse big. Bosh doesn't compliment the skills of Wade or LeBron at all. Bosh is a scorer. How is he supposed to be of full value when he plays with 2 ball dominant superstars? He can't.
My suggestion: the HEAT should have signed one or the other and used the rest of the cap space to sign role players. Specifically, a center who is actually useful. Unlike Joel Anthony and Erick Dampier.
The Carmelo Anthony trade talks dominated the sports discussion for the longest period of time. I respect that he kept playing hard through it all (or as hard as 'Melo ever plays), but it had an effect on the team. The fact is, both the KNICKS and NUGGETS appeared to improve with the trade. The winner of the deal though? Denver. Hands down. Their record improved significantly after the 'Melo drama and the team chemistry appeared to improve also. As far as New York goes, they still lack what they lacked before: size. All the KNICKS did was trade a lot of scorers for 1 big time scorer to pair with another big time scorer. Doesn't make much sense to me.
My suggestion: No suggestion to Denver. That trade was executed to perfection by them. New York, you should have kept the depth you traded away for 'Melo and Billups and perhaps used it to fix the problem you had: size up front.
Jerry Sloan resigned as coach of the JAZZ, that's a cue for "rebuilding mode" if I ever saw one. Deron Williams is a top tier PG in the league without a doubt. That is exactly why they traded him. They got a lot back. Derrick Favors is destined to be a beast in this league and Devin Harris is a damn good PG. It didn't make them better, but it gave them a fresh look. This will end up having a positive result, considering Williams would have left the team via free agency the following year. As for the Nets, who really knows what Mikhail Prokhorov is thinking? Not even Mikhail Prokhorov. Give him credit for pulling off such a big deal though. Unless he can pull off another one, however, don't expect Williams to stick around and wait.
My suggestion: average move for both teams that have pros and cons. The JAZZ never got any better but at least they switch direction(they were heading straight off a cliff). The NETS didn't make their team better as apparent by their record and they don't have enough pieces to pull off another major deal without trading Brook Lopez. I guess it all depends on how much faith we should be bestowing on Prokhorov.
Perhaps my favorite deal of the year was Gerald Wallace being traded to the BLAZERS. I'm not even going to comment on the effects that made to the BOBCATS, since it obviously made them worse short term and long term (good job MJ). Portland at the time of the deal was without Brandon Roy and Marcus Camby, 2 huge pieces to that team. LaMarcus Aldridge is having a career season and Portland is still in the playoff. If Roy reaches full strength before the playoffs or during the playoffs watch out. They will have 3 stars with an infinite amount of depth to go deep in the playoffs.
My suggestion: Portland-good job. Charlotte-put MJ back on the court instead.
Doc Rivers often says that his CELTICS have never lost a playoff series with his "true starting five." One of those five being center Kendrick Perkins, whom they traded to the THUNDER at the deadline. The players Boston got back for Perkins were serviceable for sure, however, they don't support the identity of the team. The CELTICS made their living defensively with Perkins holding down the fort. Don't expect Boston to make it back to the finals this year, or for a long time. The THUNDER on the other hand made a genius deal. They have 2 lights out scorers in Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook, so why do they need Jeff Green? They don't, especially when sixth man James Harden steps up and takes over his scoring load. Perkins increases the defensive capabilities of OKC immensely, and this makes their team a legitimate contender.
My suggestion: Boston gave in to rebuilding rather than another championship. They might as well just sell the farm and start anew behind Rajon Rondo and Jeff Green.
The last of the big time deals is only big time because it involves Gilbert Arenas and Vince Carter. The MAGIC pulled off a couple of deals that resulted in: Arenas, Jason Richardson, Hedo Turkoglu and Earl Clark coming in; and Carter, Micheal Pietrus, and Rashard Lewis going out. This is a new look for Orlando, which was, what we thought at the time, exactly what they needed. It is obvious now though that it was not what they needed. Arenas is simply not the player he used to be, and Dwight Howard's offensive game isn't polished enough yet to carry the entire offensive weight.
My suggestion: they need a legitimate perimeter scoring threat. Arenas, Turkoglu, Richardson, and Jameer Nelson simply won't cut the cake.
Other notable deals: (only mentioning useful pieces)
Kirk Hinrich(HAWKS) to the WIZARDS for Jordan Crawford
Marcus Thornton(HORNETS) to the KINGS for Carl Landry
Arron Brooks(ROCKETS) to the SUNS for Goran Dragic
Shane Battier(ROCKETS) to the GRIZZLIES
Many GM's take personal interest in player personnel though. And sometimes, surprisingly, they appear to put winning ahead of making money in the franchise's "hierarchy of needs." This season, more than most, involved a lot of player trading and the signing of big name free agents. The composition of the league this year got a big make-over from last year as far as the BIG teams go. This has a lot to do with the overhaul jobs of their front office. Their decisions don't always push the team to the next level though. This is why we pay attention to the off-season: to judge the improvement of teams. And judging is exactly what I'm about to do.
I know it's not midseason, but it's worth talking about. It's the biggest acquisition of the year, the signing of LeBron James and Chris Bosh to the HEAT. When I first heard that Bosh signed with Miami, I was quite excited. I felt that the HEAT just added a top notch inside scorer and a good second option to pair with Dwyane Wade. That perspective changed as soon as I, like all you NBA fans out there, watched "The Decision." While it's hard to argue against these guys' resume's, skill levels, or number 2 seed in the east, it's quite easy to argue their obvious lack of chemistry. The money being payed to the Big 3 left Miami with limited flexibility to surround them with role players. This means that Bosh had to play "big" while their wings dominated the ball. I respect Bosh's game, but he is a finesse big. Bosh doesn't compliment the skills of Wade or LeBron at all. Bosh is a scorer. How is he supposed to be of full value when he plays with 2 ball dominant superstars? He can't.
My suggestion: the HEAT should have signed one or the other and used the rest of the cap space to sign role players. Specifically, a center who is actually useful. Unlike Joel Anthony and Erick Dampier.
The Carmelo Anthony trade talks dominated the sports discussion for the longest period of time. I respect that he kept playing hard through it all (or as hard as 'Melo ever plays), but it had an effect on the team. The fact is, both the KNICKS and NUGGETS appeared to improve with the trade. The winner of the deal though? Denver. Hands down. Their record improved significantly after the 'Melo drama and the team chemistry appeared to improve also. As far as New York goes, they still lack what they lacked before: size. All the KNICKS did was trade a lot of scorers for 1 big time scorer to pair with another big time scorer. Doesn't make much sense to me.
My suggestion: No suggestion to Denver. That trade was executed to perfection by them. New York, you should have kept the depth you traded away for 'Melo and Billups and perhaps used it to fix the problem you had: size up front.
Jerry Sloan resigned as coach of the JAZZ, that's a cue for "rebuilding mode" if I ever saw one. Deron Williams is a top tier PG in the league without a doubt. That is exactly why they traded him. They got a lot back. Derrick Favors is destined to be a beast in this league and Devin Harris is a damn good PG. It didn't make them better, but it gave them a fresh look. This will end up having a positive result, considering Williams would have left the team via free agency the following year. As for the Nets, who really knows what Mikhail Prokhorov is thinking? Not even Mikhail Prokhorov. Give him credit for pulling off such a big deal though. Unless he can pull off another one, however, don't expect Williams to stick around and wait.
My suggestion: average move for both teams that have pros and cons. The JAZZ never got any better but at least they switch direction(they were heading straight off a cliff). The NETS didn't make their team better as apparent by their record and they don't have enough pieces to pull off another major deal without trading Brook Lopez. I guess it all depends on how much faith we should be bestowing on Prokhorov.
Perhaps my favorite deal of the year was Gerald Wallace being traded to the BLAZERS. I'm not even going to comment on the effects that made to the BOBCATS, since it obviously made them worse short term and long term (good job MJ). Portland at the time of the deal was without Brandon Roy and Marcus Camby, 2 huge pieces to that team. LaMarcus Aldridge is having a career season and Portland is still in the playoff. If Roy reaches full strength before the playoffs or during the playoffs watch out. They will have 3 stars with an infinite amount of depth to go deep in the playoffs.
My suggestion: Portland-good job. Charlotte-put MJ back on the court instead.
Doc Rivers often says that his CELTICS have never lost a playoff series with his "true starting five." One of those five being center Kendrick Perkins, whom they traded to the THUNDER at the deadline. The players Boston got back for Perkins were serviceable for sure, however, they don't support the identity of the team. The CELTICS made their living defensively with Perkins holding down the fort. Don't expect Boston to make it back to the finals this year, or for a long time. The THUNDER on the other hand made a genius deal. They have 2 lights out scorers in Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook, so why do they need Jeff Green? They don't, especially when sixth man James Harden steps up and takes over his scoring load. Perkins increases the defensive capabilities of OKC immensely, and this makes their team a legitimate contender.
My suggestion: Boston gave in to rebuilding rather than another championship. They might as well just sell the farm and start anew behind Rajon Rondo and Jeff Green.
The last of the big time deals is only big time because it involves Gilbert Arenas and Vince Carter. The MAGIC pulled off a couple of deals that resulted in: Arenas, Jason Richardson, Hedo Turkoglu and Earl Clark coming in; and Carter, Micheal Pietrus, and Rashard Lewis going out. This is a new look for Orlando, which was, what we thought at the time, exactly what they needed. It is obvious now though that it was not what they needed. Arenas is simply not the player he used to be, and Dwight Howard's offensive game isn't polished enough yet to carry the entire offensive weight.
My suggestion: they need a legitimate perimeter scoring threat. Arenas, Turkoglu, Richardson, and Jameer Nelson simply won't cut the cake.
Other notable deals: (only mentioning useful pieces)
Kirk Hinrich(HAWKS) to the WIZARDS for Jordan Crawford
Marcus Thornton(HORNETS) to the KINGS for Carl Landry
Arron Brooks(ROCKETS) to the SUNS for Goran Dragic
Shane Battier(ROCKETS) to the GRIZZLIES
Monday 11 April 2011
6 "what if's" in the Modern NBA
Throughout the history of the game there have been many players who we, as analysts, believe should have been better(more productive). Now more than ever we find ourselves questioning why the hell some guys haven't made a bigger impact! With all of the youtube videos with high school highlights and prospect websites with supposed expert opinions and athletic measurements, why are there still guys underachieving?
Truth be told, a lot of it has to do with mental attitude; and when I say a lot, I mean 95% of it. However there are times where I look at said players and wonder: "what if you played here? With this guy? On this team? For this coach?" It's interesting to imagine the difference it would make in the development of players. So interesting, in fact, that I composed a list of 6 changes I would like to see in player situations. Comment and rank them in order of what you would like to see or to discuss.
WHAT IF......
LeBron James stayed in Cleveland?
Ya I know, I picked an easy one to start off. This question has almost become a basketball cliche ever since "The Decision" in the previous off season. But I think we looked at from the wrong perspective. Where we thought LeBron should go had a lot to do with him winning, and our own selfish desires as sports fans to see our favorite teams succeed. The reality is, he couldn't have gone to a team that would win more his first season there than the HEAT. Except, that is, the CAVS. They surely would have had a better record than this year's heat considering they did the last season he played there. Chances are high that the heat won't win a championship this year, and with the way the THUNDER and BULLS are rising to the top they won't win a string of them. So, given that the cavs had the best record in the league with LeBron, wasn't that his best chance to win a title? They were definitely on the doorstep. On top of that, imagine this: LeBron James the hood rat kid who grew up in Ohio and was a high school phenom plays pro in Ohio and leads the lowly city of Cleveland to a title. That's a pretty good pitch for "greatest ever."
O.J. Mayo played on any other team than the Grizzlies?
Now this might be a little biased considering I am a HUGE O.J. fan, but the truth is he is an incredible talent. This is his third season in the NBA, the year where most superstars break out and become superstars(see: Kevin Durant, Derrick Rose, Kevin Love, etc.).Yet his numbers have dropped each season since his first and this year they dropped exponentially. You may ask why, and so did I. I blame it on the personnel they brought in. With Zach Randolph and Marc Gasol in the post and Rudy Gay as SF they are big in the frontcourt. This allows them to play solid defense in the paint, which is half the defensive battle. Mike Conley, a point guard, is no slouch defensively either. So, in order to win, they are trying to build an identity. Specifically, a defensive one. O.J. Mayo is not a bad defender, but he is no Tony Allen or Sam Young, who are the 2 players who took most of his minutes. And with Gay and Randolph able to carry the majority of the scoring load there is no real need for Mayo down in Memphis. So please, Grizzlies, trade him to a team that will play him 35 minutes a game so he can come out of his shell and average 25ppg and 6apg.
Josh Smith played on a fast breaking team?
Surprisingly the Hawks are one of the slowest offensive paced teams in the league. They ranked 27th in the latest NBA Power Ranking in that category. Now with the shift of the league to have really high pace offenses, most teams have enlisted the help of a "stretch 4," or even moved their Small Forwards down to play the 4 spot. What better stretch 4 is there in the league? Athletic enough to run the break, good enough shooter that you have to respect his range and can't fully help off him, and the biggest of all: he actually plays amazing defense, a rarity from stretch 4's.
Derrick Favors played on a team who gave him minutes?
All of the hype when this rookie came into the draft has gone relatively unproven. I would even go as far to say as he is a "bust", not like Evan Turner, but just not quite where he should be. Sure, he is only a rookie, but he is also 6'10", 246lbs, has a 9'2" standing reach, and a 35" vertical(as recorded at the draft combine). Don't get me wrong, I love this guy's potential. But why does it only have to be potential? Why can't he be an impact player now? Ask the Nets and Jazz.
Joe Johnson, Andre Iguodala, Monta Ellis, or some other elite wing player played on the Magic?
All of these guys I listed above are the best players on their respective teams. That is why they are sub-par teams. These guys are all good basketball players, but on a championship level team they are the second option. The second option is exactly what the Magic need to take the next step, and they have the pieces to pull off a deal. They just have to find a team that is willing to part ways with their go-to-guy and start anew.
Greg Oden was never injured?
This is a big what if, considering he has only played 82 games total in his 4 year career. This discussion becomes more interesting when you consider the hype he had being drafted, and the fact that Kevin Durant was drafted right behind him at the 2 spot. The fact is, Oden was drafted 1st because of his defensive prowess. I don't disagree with him being a defensive monster, but would he have really been a superstar to the level Durant is? I don't think so. An All-Star? Probably a few times.
Truth be told, a lot of it has to do with mental attitude; and when I say a lot, I mean 95% of it. However there are times where I look at said players and wonder: "what if you played here? With this guy? On this team? For this coach?" It's interesting to imagine the difference it would make in the development of players. So interesting, in fact, that I composed a list of 6 changes I would like to see in player situations. Comment and rank them in order of what you would like to see or to discuss.
WHAT IF......
LeBron James stayed in Cleveland?
Ya I know, I picked an easy one to start off. This question has almost become a basketball cliche ever since "The Decision" in the previous off season. But I think we looked at from the wrong perspective. Where we thought LeBron should go had a lot to do with him winning, and our own selfish desires as sports fans to see our favorite teams succeed. The reality is, he couldn't have gone to a team that would win more his first season there than the HEAT. Except, that is, the CAVS. They surely would have had a better record than this year's heat considering they did the last season he played there. Chances are high that the heat won't win a championship this year, and with the way the THUNDER and BULLS are rising to the top they won't win a string of them. So, given that the cavs had the best record in the league with LeBron, wasn't that his best chance to win a title? They were definitely on the doorstep. On top of that, imagine this: LeBron James the hood rat kid who grew up in Ohio and was a high school phenom plays pro in Ohio and leads the lowly city of Cleveland to a title. That's a pretty good pitch for "greatest ever."
O.J. Mayo played on any other team than the Grizzlies?
Now this might be a little biased considering I am a HUGE O.J. fan, but the truth is he is an incredible talent. This is his third season in the NBA, the year where most superstars break out and become superstars(see: Kevin Durant, Derrick Rose, Kevin Love, etc.).Yet his numbers have dropped each season since his first and this year they dropped exponentially. You may ask why, and so did I. I blame it on the personnel they brought in. With Zach Randolph and Marc Gasol in the post and Rudy Gay as SF they are big in the frontcourt. This allows them to play solid defense in the paint, which is half the defensive battle. Mike Conley, a point guard, is no slouch defensively either. So, in order to win, they are trying to build an identity. Specifically, a defensive one. O.J. Mayo is not a bad defender, but he is no Tony Allen or Sam Young, who are the 2 players who took most of his minutes. And with Gay and Randolph able to carry the majority of the scoring load there is no real need for Mayo down in Memphis. So please, Grizzlies, trade him to a team that will play him 35 minutes a game so he can come out of his shell and average 25ppg and 6apg.
Josh Smith played on a fast breaking team?
Surprisingly the Hawks are one of the slowest offensive paced teams in the league. They ranked 27th in the latest NBA Power Ranking in that category. Now with the shift of the league to have really high pace offenses, most teams have enlisted the help of a "stretch 4," or even moved their Small Forwards down to play the 4 spot. What better stretch 4 is there in the league? Athletic enough to run the break, good enough shooter that you have to respect his range and can't fully help off him, and the biggest of all: he actually plays amazing defense, a rarity from stretch 4's.
Derrick Favors played on a team who gave him minutes?
All of the hype when this rookie came into the draft has gone relatively unproven. I would even go as far to say as he is a "bust", not like Evan Turner, but just not quite where he should be. Sure, he is only a rookie, but he is also 6'10", 246lbs, has a 9'2" standing reach, and a 35" vertical(as recorded at the draft combine). Don't get me wrong, I love this guy's potential. But why does it only have to be potential? Why can't he be an impact player now? Ask the Nets and Jazz.
Joe Johnson, Andre Iguodala, Monta Ellis, or some other elite wing player played on the Magic?
All of these guys I listed above are the best players on their respective teams. That is why they are sub-par teams. These guys are all good basketball players, but on a championship level team they are the second option. The second option is exactly what the Magic need to take the next step, and they have the pieces to pull off a deal. They just have to find a team that is willing to part ways with their go-to-guy and start anew.
Greg Oden was never injured?
This is a big what if, considering he has only played 82 games total in his 4 year career. This discussion becomes more interesting when you consider the hype he had being drafted, and the fact that Kevin Durant was drafted right behind him at the 2 spot. The fact is, Oden was drafted 1st because of his defensive prowess. I don't disagree with him being a defensive monster, but would he have really been a superstar to the level Durant is? I don't think so. An All-Star? Probably a few times.
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